What’s next in Ukraine: Ex-US Army Europe commander’s take on 2023 | Conflict Zone

What’s next in Ukraine: Ex-US Army Europe commander’s take on 2023 | Conflict Zone

Ben Hodges tells DW he remains optimistic of Ukraine’s prospects for victory over the next 12 months. Speaking to Tim Sebastian for a Conflict Zone special, the former US Army Europe commander said it might be “too early to plan a victory parade” but Ukraine had made “irreversible gains.” Hodges also said he expected Ukrainian forces to retake Crimea from Russia in 2023. Moscow illegally annexed the territory in 2014.
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0:00 Welcome to Ben Hodges
0:14 NATO strategic objectives in Ukraine war
0:40 Restoration of sovereignty in Crimea & return of deportees
1:14 Concern about escalation, Western concerns about Russian defeat & implications with China
1:44 Divergence with UKraine & Chancellor Olaf Scholz and pre-war peace order
2:05 Business as usual with Kremlin?
2:39 Future of Russian Federation
3:17 Future of rules-based international order
3:30 Future of Ukrainian economy, return of refugees & food exports to Africa & Asia
4:05 ICC investigations of Kremlin officials for genocide & war crimes
5:22 Reparations and specter of world wars
5:53 Polish reparations claim against Germany
6:15 Continued Western support for Ukraine for how long?
6:35 Sustained land combat: ammunition, casualties, vehicles & aircraft losses
7:15 US Patriot air defense missile system to Ukraine
7:50 Congressional support for Biden’s Ukraine policy
8:30 Is war between Russia and West unavoidable?
8:54 President Zelenskyy & Western weapons and sanctions
10:10 Ben Hodges’ assessment of war by end of 2023
11:14 War as a test of wills & logistics
11:45 Lines of communication, main supply routes, & Kerch Bridge

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